Monday, December 16, 2019
Home > Uncategorized > BIG MARLEY’S UFC FIGHT NIGHT 132 DRAFT KINGS FANTASY BREAKDOWN

BIG MARLEY’S UFC FIGHT NIGHT 132 DRAFT KINGS FANTASY BREAKDOWN

This week, we have a Fight Pass card at Singapore. Because it’s in Singapore, we must wake up at 4:30am ET to watch it live. I have already set the alarm and that I will be up prepared to sweat these early struggles. DraftKings does not have many large tournaments this week so I will be playing more cash games and less GPPs. I will still have 3 GPP lineups but most of my investment this week will be in cash games. But, there is still money to be won so here are a few plays I enjoy and my fade of this week:
Money Game play of this week — Stack, Leon Edwards ($8,600) AND Donald Cerrone ($7,600)
Donald”Cowboy” Cerrone is not in a boring fight. Whether he wins or loses, his fights generally score as a whole and the winner almost always pays off their price tag in DraftKings. I typically search for at least 100 total points should I stack a struggle in cash and I think for this being a possible 5-rounds, it must score well more than that. If Edwards win this fight, it’s probably an early KO, and if that happens he will score very large. If Cerrone wins, then he can lock up a submission or a knockout which will readily 10x his cost of $7.6k. However, in any event, you have the winner at your lineup along with the ensured 30-90 win bonus points should you pile. I think this battle is going to be fun so long as it continues and there should be a good amount of points added up until one of these two get finished. If this does go 5 rounds, then these two should nevertheless get over 100 total points with the speed Cowboy brings to the table.
GPP play of the week — Li Jingliang ($9,200)
Li Jingliang constantly puts on a show when he steps in the Octagon. He’s a fast pace fighter that scores well on DraftKings when he wins. I think he should be the better fighter wherever this struggle ends up against Abe. I also believe he could complete this battle on the feet or the ground and if this happens he’d very likely pay off his high price tag of $9.2k. He is the 3rd most expensive fighter on the card and I believe he has the maximum ceiling. That’s what we desire in GPPs is a ceiling, so that’s the reason why Jingliang is my GPP play of the week.
Underdog drama of this week — Song Yadong ($7,900)
Song Yadong is my favourite DraftKings”underdog” this week. His gambling line has shifted to him being a slight favorite at -120 however he is $400 cheaper than his competitor. I think saving that $400 is a fantastic move in cash or GPP games so I like Yadong in all formats. I think Yadong will seem to maintain this fight on the feet and search for this KO win. If he can get the win, I believe he must readily pay off that price tag and receive at least 10x.
Fade of the week — Viviane Pereira ($8,800)
My primary difficulty with Pereira is that she is too pricey. At $8.8k, I want at least 88 points out of her and I believe she desires get an end to perform that. I really don’t see that happening and does Vegas using a +617 ITD line. She doesn’t strike at a high enough speed or land sufficient takedowns to evaluate 88 points in my personal opinion. In her 2 UFC wins she held her opponent against the fence for a good portion of the struggle and no issues have been scored when that happens. If she does this again , there’s absolutely no way she even comes near 88 points even with a win. I have a full fade on Pereira this week and that I will compensate for other favorites instead.
If you would like my full-card DraftKings breakdown with investigation on each struggle, my personal approaches & suggestions, and my pick prediction for every struggle then you can find that under the Premium Picks tab on MMAoddsbreaker if you click on Upcoming Picks. Or you can just go to this link below:
https://mmaoddsbreaker.com/mmaob-premium/upcoming-picks

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