UFC 234 is set to take place less than fourteen days from today at Rod Laver Arena at Melbourne, Australia. With the card quickly coming up, there have sadly been some accidents and a few fights are affected. Here’s an update on the latest fights for UFC 234 in the current MMA odds and ends.
Sam Alvey vs. Jimmy Crute, UFC 234
Because of an injury to Ryan Spann, Sam Alvey has stepped up on short notice and will take on rising prospect Jimmy Crute in a light heavyweight conflict. News of the new matchup was initially shown by news.com.au.
Alvey (33-11, 1 NC) is 10-6 overall in the UFC while dividing his time between middleweight and light heavyweight. Since moving around 205lbs, Alvey has gone 2-1 with wins over Gian Villante and Marcin Prachnio and a sudden TKO loss to Antonio Rogerio Nogueira in his last struggle. Alvey has settled into the role of gatekeeper, despite the reduction to Nogueira he stays a stern test for any up-and-coming in the light heavyweight division, making Crute the ideal opponent. Note that Alvey was originally set to combat Gadzhimurad Antigulov in UFC Fight Night 145 before being pulled with this matchup.
Crute (9-0) looked fantastic in his UFC debut because he submitted Paul Craig. He is only 22-years old and has lots of assurance as an undefeated prospect. He is the native and contains all of the pressure on himbut he hasn’t shown any symptoms of not being able to fulfill the hype. From all accounts, Crute seems like he has some of the qualities of a future light heavyweight title contender.
As for the odds, Crute was a +110 underdog against Ryan Spann, but I’d have bet him at those odds as I watched value there. Against Alvey, I really don’t see any reason Crute wouldn’t be a big favorite. I’d peg him about -300 in this fight, and I see him beating Alvey and continuing his march towards the top-15 rankings.
Callan Potter vs. Jalin Turner, UFC 234
Because of an injury to Alex Gorgees, Callan Potter will make his UFC debut on brief notice when he takes on Jalin Turner at UFC 234. Nolan King broke the information.
Potter (16-7) is a regional Aussie fighter and has been riding an eight-fight win series prior to being submitted by Marcin Held in ACB in his last fight. He actually has quite a bit of expertise, having struggled Jake Matthews before in his career. But he has no notable wins. Be aware that all of Potter’s fights have finished within the distance — win or lose.
Turner (7-4) was knocked out by Vicente Luque in his UFC debut. That was definitely going to be a difficult matchup for Turner, and I am still not sure why the UFC put up him as a sacrificial lamb there. All seven of Turner’s career wins have come by stoppage, though he has been knocked out three times himself which is of class concerning.
Turner is the bigger name and had a full camp so I do expect him to be favored, but I think Potter has a fairly good chance here. Nevertheless, this might be a struggle where the props might be the best bet, along with the prop I will be looking for is the fight ending inside the space, as I fully expect someone to get knocked out.
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