Basketball and gambling have more in common than you might think. So as to succeed at either pursuit, it helps to have a proven system. In the case of basketball, obtaining a reliable offensive strategy which you’re able to roll out each game regardless of the matchup gives you a leg-up. Think Mike D’Antoni’s free-flowing space-and-pace attack or Jerry Sloan’s nearly unbeatable pick-and-roll offense in the 1980s and 90s.
If it comes to betting, you can gain the exact same type of advantage by having a tightly defined set of rules which it is possible to apply to each and every match irrespective of who is on the court.
Fortunately, you don’t need to create your own betting system from scratch. There are already several recognized strategies that you can try on for size when you put down wagers on your favorite teams, and there’s no rule against pilfering from the playbooks of those who arrived before you. We have included a number of the most reliable systems and money-management strategies below, along with insights about how to use them. When combined with an comprehension of the game, these systems can help turn rookie betters to all-stars.
The Top Totals System
Few approaches are easier to learn and use than the High Totals System created by Allen Moody, a sports-betting professional and also the author of Becoming a Winning Gambler and Sports Betting Basics. Moody found that sportsbooks often underestimate game totals for NBA non-conference games, and began taking the over on all games using an over/under of 220 total points. It’s a simple approach, but it paid off as he had been right 63.5percent of the time for many games meeting that criteria from 2004-05 to 2008-09.
Those kinds of games have been rarities a decade before, but they are getting more common now as teams push the pace and drain more three-pointers. Back in 2004-05, NBA teams scored an average of 97.2 points each match. That number jumped to 100.0 in 2008-09 and rose all the way to 105.6 in 2016-17. Sportsbooks have become savvy to this trend, but there is still value to be found by taking the above in matches with especially high total-point projections.
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